February 17

ERCOT’s latest projections show potential problems for Texas power grid by 2027

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ENB Pub Note: While reviewing grid connection plans for the United States we are finding that ERCOT has the best plans and will be prepared for growth and stability. They are taking precautions years earlier, and the natural gas power plants coming online are only one small indication. The other is the natural gas power plant in Abilene dedicated to the Stargate data center is an excellent example of microgrid support for data centers and commerce. 
The Brief

  • ERCOT is projecting an 8% shortfall in its energy production by 2027.
  • The projection states large industry, cryptocurrency mining and large data centers.
  • Senate bill 6 would require those companies to conduct a study of their impact on the grid and be prepared to use back-up generators during energy emergencies.

AUSTIN, Texas – The newest report from the Electric Reliability Council of Texas outlines potential issues with the state’s power reserves as early as 2027.

The agency released its Capacity, Demand and Reserves Report on Thursday which estimates future reserve margins expected to be available during peak demand in the summer and winter seasons.

Timeline

One scenario in the report shows the state’s energy production falling beneath the demand by 8.3% during peak demand in the summer of 2027.

That same scenario shows a shortfall of 32.4% by summer 2029.

((Source: ERCOT))

The report uses a new load forecast that comes from transmission and distribution utilities and uses the reliability contributions of alternate energy sources like wind and solar.

The report states the new forecast power demands come from consumers like data centers, industrial production facilities and cryptocurrency mining.

What they’re saying

“For this CDR, we provided additional scenarios to illustrate the impacts of timing differences in load and supply growth. For example, if load were to not materialize as early as forecasted or if the full TEF generation portfolio is built within the report horizon,” ERCOT CEO Pablo Vegas said. “These are probable scenarios that show moderated planning reserve impacts. However, the economic growth ahead does show that action is needed today to ensure long-term reliability and affordability.”

“ERCOT looks forward to working on short- and long-term solutions with the Texas Legislature, PUCT, and stakeholders to continue to strengthen the reliability and resiliency of the Texas power grid,” he continued.

What’s next

The report outlines possible solutions like broadening the Firm Fuel Supply Service Program and adding more projects through the Texas Energy Fund.

The agency is also looking to improve battery functions.

Dig deeper

You can read ERCOT’s report here:

Click to open this PDF in a new window.

Source: MSN

Energy News Beat 


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