ADNOC Gas plc and its subsidiaries today announced strong earnings for the third quarter of 2024, with net income increasing 11% year-on-year (YoY) to $1.24 billion, beating Bloomberg consensus for the quarter.
The announcement of the company’s Q3 results coincides with ADNOC Gas’ Board of Directors approval of an updated growth strategy, that targets an increase of over 40% in EBITDA by 2029 and sets capital expenditure (CAPEX) of up to $15 billion for the period 2025-2029.
“Our Q3 results are a testament to our robust performance while our updated strategy supports future proofing our business, aiming for over 40% EBITDA growth by 2029,” said Dr. Ahmed Alebri, Chief Executive Officer of ADNOC Gas. “We’re committed to delivering exceptional shareholder value with our ambitious growth plans and an expected 5% annual dividend increase.
“By advancing our projects and optimizing our existing assets, we will continue to support the UAE’s industrial diversification while delivering more gas to our domestic customers through our expanding infrastructure.
“Additionally, through our decarbonization initiatives, we will help meet rising global demand for lower-carbon natural gas, positioning ADNOC Gas as a leader in the sustainable global gas industry,” Dr. Alebri added.
Q3 results
ADNOC Gas’ Q3 revenues rose to $6.281 billion, up 8% YoY, exceeding $6 billion for the fourth quarter in a row. The results are driven by higher sales volumes and an improved price environment for export-traded liquids. EBITDA increased 18% YoY to $2.205 billion, yielding a continually robust 35% EBITDA margin. Free cash flow was $1.184 billion.
In the first nine months of 2024, net income increased 18% YoY to $3.62 billion. This is attributable to volumes of export traded liquids and LNG increasing 6.5%, sales gas rising by 4.5% YoY, and domestic gas growth of 3.5%. The nine-month results were improved further by better LPG and LNG pricing. This resulted in EBITDA for the first nine months of the year of $6.37 billion, an 18% increase YoY.
Strategy update
In the UAE, the annual growth in gas demand to 2030 is expected to be 6%, versus an expected 2% at the time of the IPO. This strong increase in demand will be driven by higher economic activity, population growth and industrial expansion, underpinned by AI data centers and the food industry.
To participate in this new demand growth, ADNOC Gas plans to increase Capex from $13 to $15 billion (2025-2029), which will fuel over 40% growth in EBITDA by 2029.
All ADNOC Gas projects are subject to rigorous capital discipline, which has resulted in the transfer of the ESTIDAMA pipeline network project and funding of the Habshan CO2 Recovery project to the ADNOC Group. Both projects will continue to be managed and operated by ADNOC Gas. Meanwhile, the LNG 2.0 project, the rejuvenation and extension work for Das Island, has been cancelled.
ADNOC Gas’ major focus until 2029 will be on the development and delivery of three large projects under construction (post-final investment decision (FID). These are the Maximization of Ethane Recovery and Monetization (MERAM) project, which will deliver up to 3.4 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) of ethane and NGL production capacity; the IGD-E2 project, which will have a gas processing capacity of 370 million standard cubic feet per day ((mscfd); and Ruwais LNG, which will have the capacity to produce up to 9.6 mtpa of LNG.
The updated growth strategy also advances the design and concept study of large-scale pre-FID projects to accommodate a significant increase in the company’s gas processing capabilities as ADNOC expands its upstream production capacity, as well as the Bab Gas Cap project, which are expected to be completed after 2029.
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